But it is certainly a trend that we've seen over the past two years, and it's one that we hope starts to break down.
#Lauren hope meteorologist plus#
In climate, you really got to look at a 30 plus year average. And it, is that a change in general? That's something we're going to have to kind of see over the next couple of years, because obviously weather is those day-to-day changes. It just hasn't been positioning where we've seen it in years past. And it's all about the position of that high. Flagstaff is probably going to come on its driest monsoon again.
I mean, we've got two years now that have been incredibly dry. PACE: So it's certainly something that I think we'll look at for sure. Is this something we should worry about? Are we going to not have this season like we used to? We didn't see a lot of rain last year, if I can recall correctly, either. Matt, I want to talk about the monsoon season or the "non-soon" season, we've heard people call it this year.
But for the most part, your best bet is to say it's probably going to be warm. But of course, there's a lot of times things can change. But, you know, probably still in the 90s if you look at the pattern. PACE: Let's, let's go a little lower than that. But, so people might be trick-or-treating and it could be 100 degrees? So we have no idea what Halloween is going to look like because of COVID - will people be trick-or-treating or not. GOLDSTEIN: Well, Matt, quick follow up on that then. But the way we've been going lately and looking at the pattern, I wouldn't be surprised if we see hundreds into the mid to late part of October, unfortunately. Right? Now the average last 100-degree days like Oct. GOLDSTEIN: Did you say last part of October? Excuse me? But unfortunately, no big cooling trend in sight. So it does look like we're probably going to continue those 100-degree days through, you know, the last part of October, and then we'll slowly start to cool it off. And that typically means it's going to be warm and it's going to be a fairly dry winter. PACE: Unfortunately, when we look at it, La Nina is now here, though the water has cooled down enough that we can officially say La Nina's here. GILGER: Is there any hope then that fall might be coming early and giving us a little bit of a respite after this incredibly hot summer? So enjoy the 90s while they last, but probably by Saturday into Sunday, we're gonna be right back in that 103 to 105 degree range, which is still a little cooler than what we saw last week, so still good news. GILGER: But this, I take it, is not going to last long, just based on our luck this summer? Now, we actually had a very strong cold front, actually, swept through the region two days ago, bringing us all this really nice, cool air. And it's all a result of a pressure cheese that we had - high pressure had been sitting over the region just basically baking us with those 110 degree days. I mean, it was 69 degrees this morning at Phoenix Sky Harbor and some of the outlying areas were down into the lower 60s and even the high country below freezing this morning. But if you're out at six, 6:30, it, temperature's in the 60s. GOLDSTEIN: So Lauren and I are joking a bit to say that it's cold weather.
#Lauren hope meteorologist windows#
You know what? I almost did open the windows and put the sweater on, because yeah, it did feel a little chilly out there. GOLDSTEIN: Lauren, as you know, there's one person we always turn to when we have weather questions, and that is Matt Pace, meteorologist for the Arizona Department of Environmental Quality. And I hope it means that we're getting an early fall, especially since we got barely any rain this monsoon season. But you're right, it's one of those things where, when I left for work this morning, I was slightly chilly? After all these record-shattering hot days we've had? STEVE GOLDSTEIN: Yeah, and it's September, Lauren, just so you know for sure. LAUREN GILGER: Maybe it's my quarantine brain, but what month is it again? Did, did Bruce say at the beginning of the show that it was 75 degrees outside? The sun shining through a tree in Phoenix in September 2020.
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